Why Pat Surtain II could be the reason the Broncos clinch a playoff spot

The Denver Broncos (9-6) face a pivotal clash against the Cincinnati Bengals (7-8) in Week 17, a game that carries massive playoff implications for both teams. For the Broncos, the stakes are clear: a win guarantees their first postseason berth in nine years, while a loss could jeopardize their chances and open the door for the Bengals, Dolphins, or Colts to snatch the spot in Week 18.

The Broncos control their destiny. Securing a win in Cincinnati would seal their playoff fate and ease the pressure heading into their Week 18 showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs. A loss, however, would force Denver to rely on other teams for help, a scenario that proved unfavorable just last week.

The Bengals may be 7-8, but their record belies their offensive prowess. Led by quarterback Joe Burrow, who tops the league in passing yards, and wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, who leads the NFL in receptions and receiving yards, Cincinnati boasts one of the league’s most explosive passing attacks.

Burrow and Chase have been a nightmare for defenses, and their connection is a key reason why Cincinnati remains in playoff contention. Despite their struggles at home (2-5 at Paycor Stadium), the Bengals will be desperate to keep their postseason hopes alive, making them a dangerous opponent.

 

Key Matchup: Pat Surtain II vs. Ja’Marr Chase

This game’s outcome could hinge on one matchup: Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II against Ja’Marr Chase. Surtain is one of the league’s elite defensive backs, and his ability to limit Chase’s impact will be crucial to Denver’s chances.

Historical Context

Surtain has succeeded against Chase in the past. In their lone previous meeting on December 19, 2021, Chase was held to just one reception for three yards. However, the Bengals still edged out a 15-10 victory, showcasing their ability to win even when Chase is neutralized.

Strategic Decisions

Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph may need to adjust his typical approach and assign Surtain to shadow Chase throughout the game. Preventing Burrow from exploiting his top target could disrupt Cincinnati’s offensive rhythm and force them to find alternative strategies.

 

Denver’s Challenges and Opportunities

Denver enters this game as the underdog, and for good reason. The Bengals’ high-powered aerial attack, combined with their desperation to keep playoff hopes alive, makes them a formidable opponent. Still, there are reasons for optimism:

  • Momentum: Tyreek Maxey’s recent performances and Denver’s solid defensive unit give them a fighting chance.
  • Bengals’ Home Struggles: With a 2-5 record at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals have shown vulnerability on their turf.
  • Playoff Motivation: Knowing the significance of this game, expect Denver to bring their A-game to avoid relying on external results.

 

Prediction

This matchup has all the makings of a tightly contested dogfight. If Surtain can stifle Chase and Denver’s offense manages to stay efficient, the Broncos have a real shot at securing a playoff spot. However, if Burrow and Chase are allowed to thrive, it could be a long night for Denver.

Either way, Week 17’s outcome will dramatically shape the AFC playoff picture, adding even more excitement to the final stretch of the NFL season.

 

Credits – Sporting News

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